"A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush."
A
proverb which generally translates
"It is it is better to have something less abundant and definite
than something highly abundant, but speculative."
The proverb
openly uses the metaphors involving different quantities of
birds in
two different settings with differing
degrees of obtainability. It is understood that these are the main
variables into which one interjects the choices (birds) they have,
and the risks (hand vs. bush) involved. However, it is also common
to use the proverb in a
qualitative analysis, the one bird
representing either a single item or a group of items of
lesser
value or
lower quality, but more definite, and the
two birds representing another option with
greater value
or
higher quality, but less certain.
The proverb is
usually applied to financial and vocational choices, and in its
ability to warn others from straying from the familiar, it
parallels the saying "
The grass is
always greener on the other side."
Applications
Investment Decisions
In a business
sense, this can be used to advise caution where highly-risky, yet
otherwise highly profitable, investments are under
consideration.
For example, it is well known that investors are
risk-averse: Given the opportunity to buy a new investment which
has a 50% chance of returning twice the return on an existing
investment the average investor will always keep the existing
investment (in the example, each investment has the same average
rate of return). However, investors will even keep "safe"
investments when a riskier investment would on average return a
greater profit.
Ironically, investors will often neglect
probability analyses for lowest risk/highest returns. They will
take their chances of getting something more speculatively than
they will getting something less as a sure thing.
At the same
time, people exhibit a
herd mentality: If everyone else is buying a
stock, then it must be a good buy. If everyone else is selling a
stock it must be a bad stock. Contrarian investment strategies
argue, that all other things being equal (a major caveat in
itself), one should buy when all others are selling, and sell when
all others are buying.
The combination of these two observations
- the aversity of the average investor to risk and the tendency to
assume that the future will be like the past -- explains why most
investors do not profit as much as they could from stocks and would
really be better off investing in mutual funds a relatively safe
investment with a better rate of return than bonds (one of the
safest of investments ). Risk and potential reward are correlated
(risky investments to attract capital must promise better return;
safe investments are not under this pressure). The proverb reflects
this -- and also the aversity to risk that most humans display. The
two birds are of course objectively worth almost twice as much as
the bird one has -- if you can catch them, that is. Hence, the
proverb can be seen to reinforce the risk-averse tendency many
persons share.
Relationship Choices
While the proverb
could be extended to relationship choices, it is usually cumbersome
to do so, in that it would only come up as a
choice when one is forced to choose between two
people in a relationship role that is highly exclusive, such as a
romantic one. As such,
a friend deciding between their current
significant other
and a new candidate might easily get lost in the illustration if
you were to cite this proverb, and take the
quantitative
options somewhat literally, thinking your advice to them is to
form exclusive relationships with
both persons. If
you had intended to focus on the risk-evaluation, the proverb
"
the grass is
always greener on the other side" may have been more
apt.
Vocational Choices
As mentioned above, the proverb
can be used
qualitatively to assess different options. For
example, a person considering a
career move may
not be
considering
one job vs. two jobs'
or one
career vs. two
careers', but
the proverb may still be applied to consider the potential pitfalls
of jumping into a new job or career, as opposed to staying with the
"
tried and
true".