From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Amateur photographs from Sheffield, England, 4 March 1962 &
Minneapolis, Minnesota, 20 October 1960. Taken from a 1997 CIA
training manual.
[1]
The extraterrestrial hypothesis
(ETH) is the hypothesis that some unidentified flying objects
(UFOs) are best explained as being extraterrestrial life or space
aliens from other planets
occupying physical spacecraft visiting Earth.
Etymology
Origins of the term extraterrestrial hypothesis are
unknown. It was used in a publication by French engineer Aimé
Michel in 1967[2] and
again by James
Harder, while testifying before the Congressional Committee on
Science and Astronautics, in July 1968[3].
In 1969, physicist Edward Condon defined ETH as the "idea
that some UFOs may be spacecraft sent to Earth from
another civilization or space other than earth, or on a planet
associated with a more distant star," while presenting the findings
of the much debated Condon Report.
Chronology
Although ETH, as a unified and named hypothesis, is a
comparatively new concept - one which owes a lot to the saucer
sightings of the 1940s–1960s - ETH can trace its origins back
to a number of earlier iterations such as the now discredited Martian canals
promoted by astronomer Percival Lowell, popular culture,
including the writings of H. G. Wells and fellow science fiction
pioneers, and even to the works of figures such as the Swedish
philosopher, mystic and scientist Emanuel Swedenborg, who promoted a
variety of unconventional views that linked other worlds to the
afterlife.[4]
An early example of speculation over extraterrestrial visitors
can be found in the French newspaper Le Pays. On June 17, 1864, Le Pays
published a story about two American geologists who allegedly
discovered an alien like creature; a mummified three foot tall
hairless humanoid with a trunk-like appendage on its forehead,
inside a hollow egg-shaped structure.[5]
A further report can be found in the Missouri Democrat (St.
Louis), which, in October 1865, reported on the story of Rocky
Mountain trapper James Lumley, who claimed to have discovered
fragments of rock bearing "curious hieroglyphics" which seemed to
form a compartmentalized object; which he believed was being used
to transport "an animate being", after investigating a meteor
impact near Great Falls, Montana. The
newspaper goes on to speculate "Possibly, meteors could be used as
a means of conveyance by the inhabitants of other planets, in
exploring space".[6]
Credit for popularizing the idea of Martian visitation and
invasion probably goes to H. G. Wells in his 1898 science fiction
classic War of the Worlds. However, even before
Wells, there was a sudden upsurge in reports in "Mystery
airships" in the U.S. UFO historians Jerome Clark and David M. Jacobs [1] note that
extraterrestrial visitation, particularly from Mars, was sometimes
proposed to explain these mystery airship waves. For example, the
Washington ‘’Times’’ in 1897 speculated that the airships were "a
reconnoitering party from Mars" and the Saint Louis
‘’Post-Dispatch’’ wrote, "these may be visitors from Mars, fearful,
at the last, of invading the planet they have been seeking." [7] Later
there was a more international airship wave from 1909-1912. An
example of an extraterrestrial explanation at the time was a 1909
letter to a New Zealand newspaper suggested "atomic powered
spaceships from Mars.” [8]
Starting in the 1920s, alien visitation in space ships was
commonplace in popular comic strips and radio and movie serials
such as Buck Rogers
and Flash Gordon.
In particular, Flash Gordon serials have Earth being attacked from
space by alien meteors, ray beams, and biological weapons. In 1938,
a radio broadcast version of War of the Worlds by Orson Welles, using a
modern setting for H. G. Wells’ Martian invasion, created some
public panic in the U.S. This would later figure into some
commentary on what was happening in 1947 when “flying saucers”
finally hit the U.S.
UFOs and
ETH
Regarding modern UFO sightings and their link to the ETH,
literature professor and skeptic Terry Matheson wrote, "…sightings
of unidentifiable lights the sky had been taking place for
centuries, but only after Kenneth Arnold’s flying saucer sighting
on June 24, 1947, near Mt. Rainier, Washington (see below), were they explicitly
theorized to be extraterrestrial in origin." [9]
The modern ETH - specifically the implicit linking of
unidentified aircraft and lights in the sky to alien life - took
root during the late 1940s and took its current form during the
1950s. It drew on pseudoscience as well as popular culture.
However, unlike earlier speculation of extraterrestrial life,
interest in the ETH was also bolstered by many unexplained
sightings investigated by government and private civilian groups,
such as NICAP and APRO.
The 1947 U.S. flying saucer
wave
On June 24, 1947, at about 3.00 p.m. local time, pilot Kenneth Arnold
reported seeing nine unidentified disk-shaped aircraft flying near
Mt.
Rainier.[10][11]
Arnold said the objects moved as if they were a saucer skipping
across water, but also described the shape as thin, flat, and
disc-like or saucer-like (also like a "pie-plate," "pie-pan," and
"half-moon shaped")--see Kenneth Arnold article for detailed
quotes. Three days later, the terms "flying disc" and "flying
saucer" first appeared in newspapers and became the preferred terms
for the phenomenon for a number of years, until largely replaced in
the 1950s and 1960s by UFO.
Though he was impressed by their high speed and quick movements,
Arnold did not initially consider the ETH, stating,
- "I assumed at the time they were a new formation or a new type
of jet, though I was baffled by the fact that
they did not have any tails. They passed almost directly in front
of me, but at a distance of about 23 miles, which is not very great
in the air. I judged their wingspan to be at least 100 feet across.
Their flying did not particularly disturb me at the time, except
that I had never seen planes of that type."
However, when no aircraft emerged that seemed to account for
what he had seen, Arnold clearly did consider the possibility of
the objects being extraterrestrial. In the same 1950 interview with
journalist Edward R. Murrow Arnold added, "...if
it's not made by our science or our Army Air Forces, I am inclined
to believe it's of an extraterrestrial origin." [12]
When the flying saucer wave hit the U.S., even if people thought
the saucers were real, they were generally unwilling to leap to the
conclusion that they were extraterrestrial in origin. Various
theories began to quickly proliferate in press articles, such as
secret military projects, Russian spy devices, hoaxes, and mass
hysteria, but the ETH was not generally among them. According to
Murrow, the ETH as an explanation for "flying saucers" did not earn
widespread attention until about 18 months after Arnold's
sighting.[13]
These attitudes seem to be reflected in the results of the first
US poll of public UFO perceptions released by Gallup on August 14,
1947.[14]
The term "flying saucer" was familiar to 90% of the respondents. It
further showed that most people either held no opinion (33%), or
believed that there was a mundane explanation for apparent UFOs.
29% thought they were an optical illusion, 15% a US secret
weapon, 10% a hoax, 3% a “weather
forecasting device”, 1% of Soviet origin, and 9% had “other
explanations”, including fulfillment of Biblical prophecy, secret commercial aircraft, or
related to atomic testing.
On July 10, U.S. Senator Glen Taylor of Idaho commented, “I almost
wish the flying saucers would turn out to be space ships from
another planet,” because the possibility of hostility “would unify
the people of the earth as nothing else could.” On July 8, Dewitt
Miller was quoted by UP saying that the saucers had been seen since
the early nineteenth century. If the present discs weren’t secret
Army weapons, he suggested they could be vehicles from Mars or
other planets or maybe even “things out of other dimensions of time
and space.” [15] At
the same time, several nationally syndicated columns by humorist
Hal Boyle spoke of a green man from Mars in his flying saucer (see
Little green
men).
Even Arnold commented along these lines. In a June 28 article,
he described an encounter he had with a near-hysterical woman in Pendleton,
Oregon, shrieking, "there's the man who saw the men from Mars."
Arnold then added, "This whole thing has gotten out of hand... Half
the people I see look at me as a combination Einstein, Flash Gordon
and screwball." [16]
Military
investigations begin: ETH conclusion and debunkery
On July 9, Army Air Force Intelligence began a secret study of
the best saucer reports, including Arnold's. A follow-up study by
the Air Materiel Command intelligence and
engineering departments at Wright Field Ohio led to the formation the
U.S. Air Force's Project Sign at the end of 1947, the first
official U.S. military UFO study.
In the summer of 1948, Project Sign wrote their Estimate of the Situation,
which concluded that the remaining unidentified sightings were best
explained by the ETH. However, the report ultimately was rejected
by the USAF Chief of Staff, General Hoyt Vandenberg, citing a lack of
physical evidence, and its existence was not publicly disclosed
until 1956 by later Project Blue Book director Edward J.
Ruppelt. Ruppelt also indicated that Vandenberg dismantled
Project Sign after they wrote their ETH conclusion.
With this official policy in place, all subsequent public Air
Force reports concluded that there was either insufficient evidence
to link UFOs and ETH, or that UFOs did not warrant
investigation.
Immediately following the great UFO wave of 1952 and military
debunkery of the radar and visual sightings plus jet interceptions
over Washington, D.C. in August, the CIA’s Office of Scientific
Investigation took particularly interest in UFOs. Though the ETH
was mentioned, it was generally given little credence. However,
others within the CIA, such as the Psychological Strategy
Board, were more concerned about how an unfriendly power such
as the Soviet Union might use UFOs for psychological warfare
purposes, exploit the gullibility of the public for the
sensational, and clog intelligence channels. Under a directive from
the National Security
Council to review the problem, in January 1953, the CIA
organized the Robertson Panel [17], a
group of scientists who quickly reviewed the Blue Book’s best
evidence, including motion pictures and an engineering report that
concluded that the performance characteristics were beyond that of
earthly craft. After only two days review, all cases were claimed
to have conventional explanations. An official policy of public
debunkery was recommended using the mass media and authority
figures in order to influence public opinion and reduce the number
of UFO reports.
Evolution of public
opinion
The early 1950s also saw a number of movies depicting flying
saucers and aliens, including The Day the Earth
Stood Still (1951), The War of the
Worlds, Earth vs. the Flying
Saucers (1956), and Forbidden Planet (1956).
Despite this, public belief in ETH seems to have remained low
during the early 1950s, even among those reporting UFOs. A poll
published in Popular Mechanics magazine, in
August 1951, showed that 52% of UFO witnesses questioned believed
that they had seen a man-made aircraft, while only 4% believed that
they had seen an alien craft.[14]
However, within a few years, belief in ETH had increased due to the
activities of people such as retired U.S. Marine Corp officer Maj.
Donald E. Keyhoe, who campaigned to raise
public awareness of the UFO phenomena. By 1957, 25% of Americans
responded that they either believed, or were willing to believe, in
ETH, while 53% responded that they weren't (though a majority of
these respondents indicated they thought UFOs to be real but of
earthly origin). 22% said that they were uncertain. [18][19]
During this time, the ETH also fragmented into distinct camps,
each believing slightly different variations of the hypothesis. The
"contactees" of the early 1950s said that
the "space brothers" they met were peaceful and
benevolent, but by the mid-1960s, a number of alleged Alien
abductions; including that of Betty and Barney Hill,
and of the apparent mutilation of cattle cast the ETH in
more sinister terms.
Opinion polls indicate that public belief in the ETH has
continued to rise since then. For example, a 1997 Gallup poll of
the U.S. public indicated that 87% knew about UFOs, 48% believed
them to be real (vs. 33% who thought them to be imaginary), and 45%
believed they had visited Earth. [20]
Similarly a Roper poll from 2002 found 56% thought UFOs to be real
and 48% thought they had visited Earth. [21]
Polls also indicate that the public believes even more strongly
that the government is suppressing evidence about UFOs. For
example, in both the cited Gallup and Roper polls, the figure was
about 70%.
Analyzing
ETH
In a 1969 lecture U.S. astrophysicist Carl Sagan said:
- "The idea of benign or hostile space aliens from other planets
visiting the earth [is clearly] an emotional idea. There are two
sorts of self-deception here: either accepting the idea of
extraterrestrial visitation by space aliens in the face of very
meager evidence because we want it to be true; or rejecting such an
idea out of hand, in the absence of sufficient evidence, because we
don't want it to be true. Each of these extremes is a serious
impediment to the study of UFOs.".[22]
Similarly, British astrophysicist Peter A. Sturrock wrote that for many
years,
- "discussions of the UFO issue have remained narrowly polarized
between advocates and adversaries of a single theory, namely the
extraterrestrial hypothesis ... this fixation on the ETH has
narrowed and impoverished the debate, precluding an examination of
other possible theories for the phenomenon."[23]
Opinions among
scientists
The scientific community has shown
very little support for the ETH, and has largely accepted the
explanation that reports of UFOs are the result of people
misinterpreting common objects or phenomena, or are the work of
hoaxers.
A cited example of this was an informal poll conducted in 1977
by astrophysicist Peter A. Sturrock, surveying the
members of the American Astronomical
Society. Sturrock asked polled scientists to assign
probabilities to eight possible explanations for UFOs. The results
were: [19]
| 23% |
An unfamiliar natural phenomenon |
| 22% |
A familiar phenomenon or device |
| 21% |
An unfamiliar terrestrial device |
| 12% |
Hoax |
| 9% |
An unknown natural phenomenon |
| 7% |
Some specifiable other cause |
| 3% |
An alien device |
| 3% |
Some unspecified other cause |
An earlier poll done by Sturrock in 1973 of American
Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics members found that a
somewhat higher 10% believed UFOs were vehicles from outer
space.[19]
Against
The primary scientific arguments against ETH were summarized by
Astronomer and UFO researcher J. Allen Hynek during a presentation at
the 1983 MUFON Symposium. During which time he
outlined seven key reasons why he could not accept the ETH.[24]
- "Failure of Sophisticated Surveillance Systems to Detect
Incoming or Outgoing UFOs"
- "Gravitational and Atmospheric Considerations"
- "Statistical Considerations"
- "Elusive, Evasive and Absurd Behavior of UFOs and Their
Occupants"
- "Isolation of the UFO Phenomenon in Time and Space: The Cheshire Cat
Effect"
- "The Space Unworthiness of UFOs"
- "The Problem of Astronomical Distances"
Hynek argued that:
- Despite worldwide radar
systems and Earth-orbiting satellites, UFOs are alleged to flit in
and out of the atmosphere, leaving little to no evidence.
- Space aliens are alleged to be overwhelmingly humanoid, and are allegedly
able to exist on Earth without much difficulty (often lacking "space suits", despite the
fact that extra-solar planets would likely have different atmospheres, biospheres, gravity and
other factors, and extraterrestrial life would likely be very
different from Earthly life.)
- The number of reported UFOs and of purported encounters with
UFO-inhabitants outstrips the number of expeditions that an alien
civilization (or civilizations) could statistically be expected to
mount.
- The behavior of extraterrestrials reported during alleged
abductions is often inconsistent and irrational.
- UFOs are isolated in time and space: like the Cheshire Cat, they
seem to appear and disappear at will, leaving only vague, ambiguous
and mocking evidence of their presence
- Reported UFOs are often far too small to support a crew
traveling through space, and their reported flight behavior is
often not representative of a craft under intelligent control
(erratic flight patterns, sudden course changes).
- The distance between planets makes interstellar travel
impractical, particularly because of the amount of energy that
would be required for interstellar travel using
conventional means, (According to a NASA estimate, it would take
7 × 1019 Joules of energy to send the current space
shuttle on a one-way, 50 year, journey to the nearest star, an
enormous amount of energy[25])
and because of the level of technology that would be required to
circumvent conventional energy/fuel/speed limitations
using exotic means suchs as Einstein Rosen Bridges as ways to
shortened distances from point A to point B.(see Faster than light travel).[26]
According to Hynek, points 1 through 6 could be argued, but
point 7 represented an insurmountable barrier to the validity of
the ETH.[26]
More recently, Professor Stephen Hawking argued that because
most UFOs turn out to have prosaic explanations, it was reasonable
to presume that the "unidentified" UFOs also had prosaic origins.
[27]
For
Physicist Bernard Haisch on his "ufoskeptic"
website [28]
presents a number of counterarguments to those of Hynek. Haisch
argues he is convinced something is going on and that modern
theories of physics and cosmology might support extraterrestrial or
even interdimensional origins for UFOs.
In a 1969 report to the American
Association for the Advancement of Science, the late American
physicist James E. McDonald summarized his
reasons for not dismissing ETH:
- "Present evidence surely does not amount to incontrovertible
proof of the extraterrestrial hypothesis. What I find
scientifically dismaying is that, while a large body of UFO
evidence now seems to point in no other direction than the
extraterrestrial hypothesis, the profoundly important implications
of that possibility are going unconsidered by the scientific
community because this entire problem has been imputed to be little
more than a nonsense matter unworthy of serious scientific
attention." [29]
NASA
NASA frequently fields
questions in regard to the ETH and UFOs. As of 2006, its official
standpoint was that ETH has a lack of empirical evidence.
- "no one has ever found a single artifact, or any other
convincing evidence for such alien visits". David Morrison.[30]
- "As far as I know, no claims of UFOs as being alien craft have
any validity -- the claims are without substance, and certainly not
proved". David Morrison[31]
Despite public interest, NASA considers the study of ETH to be
irrelevant to its work because of the number of false leads that a
study would provide, and the limited amount of usable scientific
data that it would yield.
- "That whole subject is really irrelevant to our own human quest
to travel to space ... if someone in the previous century saw a
film of a 747 flying past, it would not tell them how to build a
jet engine, what fuel to use, or what materials to make it out of.
Yes, the wings are a clue, but just that, a clue." NASA.[32]
Conspiracy
Main Article: UFO conspiracy theory
A frequent concept in ufology and popular culture is that the
true extent of information about UFOs is being suppressed by some
form of conspiracy of silence, or by an official cover up that is
acting to conceal information.
In 1968, American engineer James A. Harder argued that
significant evidence existed to prove UFOs "beyond reasonable
doubt," but that the evidence had been suppressed and largely
neglected by scientists and the general public, thus preventing
sound conclusions from being reached on the ETH.
- "Over the past 20 years a vast amount of evidence has been
accumulating that bears on the existence of UFO's. Most of this is
little known to the general public or to most scientists. But on
the basis of the data and ordinary rules of evidence, as would be
applied in civil or criminal courts, the physical reality of UFO's
has been proved beyond a reasonable doubt[3]"
J A Harder
A survey carried out by Industrial Research magazine in 1971
showed that more Americans believed the government was concealing
information about UFOs (76 percent) than believed in the existence
of UFOs (54 percent), or in ETH itself (32 percent).[19]
Documents and investigations regarding the Extraterrestrial
Hypothesis
Other private or governmental studies, some secret, have
concluded in favor of the Extraterrestrial hypothesis (ETH), or
have had members who disagreed with official conclusions against
the conclusion by committees and agencies to which they belonged.
The following are examples of sources that have focused
specifically on the topic:
- In 1967, Greek physicist Paul Santorini, a Manhattan
Project scientist, publicly stated that a 1947 Greek government
investigation that he headed into the European Ghost rockets of
1946 quickly concluded that they were not missiles. Santorini
claimed the investigation was then quashed by military officials
from the U.S., who knew them to be extraterrestrial, because there
was no defense against the advanced technology and they feared
widespread panic should the results become public.[33]
November 1948 USAF Top Secret document citing extraterrestrial
opinion
- A 1948 Top Secret USAF Europe document (at right) states that
Swedish air intelligence informed them that at least some of their
investigators into the ghost rockets and flying saucers concluded
they had extraterrestrial origins: "...Flying saucers have
been reported by so many sources and from such a variety of places
that we are convinced that they cannot be disregarded and must be
explained on some basis which is perhaps slightly beyond the scope
of our present intelligence thinking. When officers of this
Directorate recently visited the Swedish Air Intelligence
Service... their answer was that some reliable and fully
technically qualified people have reached the conclusion that
'these phenomena are obviously the result of a high technical skill
which cannot be credited to any presently known culture on earth.'
They are therefore assuming that these objects originate from some
previously unknown or unidentified technology, possibly outside the
earth."[34]
- In 1948, the USAF's Project Sign wrote a Top Secret Estimate of the Situation,
concluding that the ETH was the most likely explanation for the
most perplexing unexplained cases. The study was ordered destroyed
by USAF chief of staff General Hoyt Vandenberg, citing lack of proof.
Knowledge of the existence of the Estimate has come from insiders
who said they read a surviving copy, including later USAF Project Blue
Book head Edward J. Ruppelt and astronomer and
USAF consultant Dr. J. Allen Hynek.
- West Germany, in conjunction with other European countries,
conducted a secret study from 1951 to 1954, also concluding that
UFOs were extraterrestrial. This study was revealed by German
rocketry pioneer Hermann Oberth, who headed the study and
who also made many public statements supporting the ETH in
succeeding years. At the study's conclusion in 1954, Oberth
declared, "These objects (UFOs) are conceived and directed by
intelligent beings of a very high order. They do not originate in
our solar system, perhaps not in our galaxy." Soon afterwards, in
an article in The American Weekly, October 24, 1954,
Oberth wrote "It is my thesis that flying saucers are real and that
they are space ships from another solar system. I think that they
possibly are manned by intelligent observers who are members of a
race that may have been investigating our earth for centuries..."
[35]
- During the height of the flying saucer "flap" of July 1952,
including highly publicized radar/visual and jet intercepts over Washington,
D.C., the FBI was informed by the Air Force
Directorate of Intelligence that they thought the "flying saucers"
were either "optical illusions or atmospheric phenomena" but then
added that, "some Military officials are seriously considering the
possibility of interplanetary ships." [36]
- The CIA
started their own internal scientific review the following day.
Some CIA scientists were also seriously considering the ETH. An
early memo from August was very skeptical, but also added, "...as
long as a series of reports remains 'unexplainable' (interplanetary
aspects and alien origin not being thoroughly excluded from
consideration) caution requires that intelligence continue coverage
of the subject." A report from later that month was similarly
skeptical but nevertheless concluded "...sightings of UFOs reported
at Los Alamos and Oak Ridge, at a time when
the background radiation
count had risen inexplicably. Here we run out of even 'blue yonder'
explanations that might be tenable, and we still are left with
numbers of incredible reports from credible observers." A December
1952 memo from the Assistant CIA Director of Scientific
Intelligence (O/SI) was much more urgent: "...the reports of
incidents convince us that there is something going on that must
have immediate attention. Sightings of unexplained objects at great
altitudes and traveling at highs speeds in the vicinity of U.S.
defense installation are of such nature that they are not
attributable to natural phenomena or known types of aerial
vehicles." Some of the memos also made it clear that CIA interest
in the subject was not to be made public, partly in fear of
possible public panic. (Good, 331–335)
- The CIA organized the January 1953 Robertson Panel of scientists to debunk
the data collected by the Air Force's Project Blue Book. This included an
engineering analysis of UFO maneuvers by Blue Book (including a
motion picture film analysis by Naval scientists) that had
concluded UFOs were under intelligent control and likely
extraterrestrial.[37]
- Extraterrestrial "believers" within Project Blue
Book included Major Dewey Fournet, in charge of the engineering
analysis of UFO motion, who later became a board member on the
civilian UFO organization NICAP. Blue Book director Edward J.
Ruppelt privately commented on other firm "pro-UFO" members in
the USAF investigations, including some Pentagon generals, such as
Charles P.
Cabell, USAF Chief of Air Intelligence, who angry at the
inaction and debunkery of Project Grudge, dissolved it in 1951,
established Project Blue Book in its place, and made Ruppelt
director. [38] In
1953, Cabell became deputy director of the CIA. Another defector
from the official Air Force party line was consultant Dr. J. Allen Hynek,
who started out as a staunch skeptic. After 20 years of
investigation, he changed positions and generally supported the
ETH. He became the most publicly known UFO advocate scientist in
the 1970s and 1980s.
- The first CIA Director, Vice Admiral Roscoe H. Hillenkoetter, stated
in a signed statement to Congress, also reported in the New York Times, February 28, 1960, "It is
time for the truth to be brought out... Behind the scenes
high-ranking Air Force officers are soberly concerned about the
UFOs. However, through official secrecy and ridicule, many citizens
are led to believe the unknown flying objects are nonsense... I
urge immediate Congressional action to reduce the dangers from
secrecy about unidentified flying objects." In 1962, in his letter
of resignation from NICAP, he told director Donald Keyhoe, "I
know the UFOs are not U.S. or Soviet devices. All we can do now is
wait for some actions by the UFOs."[39]
- Although the 1968 Condon Report came to
a negative conclusion (written by Condon), it is known that many members of
the study strongly disagreed with Condon's methods and biases. Most
quit the project in disgust or were fired for insubordination. A
few became ETH supporters. Perhaps the best known example is Dr.
David Saunders, who in his 1968 book UFOs? Yes lambasted
Condon for extreme bias and ignoring or misrepresenting critical
evidence. Saunders wrote, "It is clear... that the sightings have
been going on for too long to explain in terms of straightforward
terrestrial intelligence. It's in this sense that ETI (Extra
Terrestrial Intelligence) stands as the 'least implausible'
explanation of 'real UFOs'." [40]
- In 1999, the private French COMETA report (written primarily by military
defense analysts) stated the conclusion regarding UFO phenomena,
that a "single hypothesis sufficiently takes into account the facts
and, for the most part, only calls for present-day science. It is
the hypothesis of extraterrestrial visitors." [2] The report noted
issues with formulating the extraterrestrial hypothesis, likening
its study to the study of meteorites, but concluded that although
it was far from the best scientific hypothesis, "strong
presumptions exist in its favour". The report also concludes that
the studies it presents "demonstrate the almost certain physical
reality of completely unknown flying objects with remarkable flight
performances and noiselessness, apparently operated by intelligent
[beings] … Secret craft definitely of early origins (drones,
stealth aircraft, etc.) can only explain a minority of cases. If we
go back far enough in time, we clearly perceive the limits of this
explanation."
- Jean-Jacques Velasco, the head of the official French UFO
investigation SEPRA, wrote a book in 2005 saying that 14%
of the 5800 cases studied by SEPRA were utterly inexplicable and
extraterrestrial in origin. [41] Yves
Sillard, the head of the new official French UFO investigation GEIPAN and former head of the
French space agency CNES, echoes
Velasco's comments and adds the U.S. is guilty of covering up this
information.[42]
Again, this isn't the official public posture of SEPRA, CNES, or
the French government. (CNES recently placed their 5800 case files
on the Internet starting March 2007.)
See also
References
- ^
Haines, Gerald K, A Die-Hard Issue: CIA's Role
in the Study of UFOs, 1947-90, Studies In Intelligence.
Vol 1#1, 1997
- ^
Michel Aimé (1967), "The Truth About Flying Saucers", Pyramid
Books, ASIN B0007DRR38
- ^ a
b
Testimony of Dr. J A
Harder before the Congressional Committee on Science and
Astronautics, 29 July 1968 (October 2006)
- ^ Swedenborg, Emanuel
(1758) Concerning the Earths in Our Solar System.....
- ^
Jacobs David M (2000), “UFOs and Abductions: Challenging the
Borders of Knowledge”, University Press of Kansas, ISBN
0-7006-1032-4 (Compiled work quoting Jerome Clark; "So far as is
known, the first mention of an extraterrestrial spacecraft was
published in the 17 June 1864 issue of a French newspaper, La Pays,
which ran an allegedly real but clearly fabulous account of a
discovery by two American geologists of a hollow, egg-shaped
structure holding the three-foot mummified body of a hairless
humanoid with a trunk protruding from the middle of his
forehead.")
- ^ Missouri Democrat,
October 19, 1865, (Transcript), (October
2006)
- ^
David Michael Jacobs, The UFO Controversy In America, p.
29, Indiana University Press, 1975, ISBN 0-253-19006-1
- ^
Jerome Clark, The UFO Book, 1998, 199-200
- ^
Matheson Terry (1998); “Alien Abduction: Creating A Modern
Phenomenon”, Prometheus Books, ISBN 1-57392-244-7
- ^
Chicago Daily Tribune (June 26, 1947)
- ^
Arnold Kenneth, Report on 9 unidentified
aircraft observed on June 24, 1947, near Mt. Rainier,
Washington, (October 1947)
- ^
Kenneth Arnold; Speaking to Journalist Edward R. Murrow (April 7,
1950), (Transcript care of Project 1947
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Murrow (April 7, 1950) The Case of the Flying
Saucer, CBS News (Radio Documentary available in MP3/Real
Media), (October 2006)
- ^ a
b
Jacobs David M (2000), “UFOs and Abductions: Challenging the
Borders of Knowledge”, University Press of Kansas, ISBN
0-7006-1032-4 (Compiled work: section sourced from Jerome
Clark)
- ^
Jerome Clark, UFO Encyclopedia’’, p. 202-203
- ^
Bremerton (Washington) Sun, June 28, 1947, "Eerie 'Whatsit
objects' In Sky Observed Here."
- ^
Timothy Good, Above Top Secret, 328-335
- ^ Trendex Poll, St.
Louis Globe Democrat (August 24, 1957)
- ^ a
b
c
d
John F. Schuessler (January 2000), Public Opinion Surveys and
Unidentified Flying Objects; 50+ years of Sampling Public
Opinions
- ^
Summary of UFO opinion
polls
- ^
Roper poll results
- ^ Sagan Carl, Page
Thornton (1972), “UFOs: A Scientific Debate”. Cornell University
Press, ISBN 0-8014-0740-0
- ^ Sturrock Peter A
(1999), “The UFO Enigma: A New Review of the Physical Evidence”,
Warner Books, ISBN 0-446-52565-0
- ^
Hynek, J. Allen (1983), “The case against ET”, in Walter H. Andrus,
Jr., and Dennis W. Stacy (eds), MUFON UFO Symposium
- ^ Warp Drive, When?: A Look at the Scaling,
(October 2006)
- ^ a
b
Clark Jerome (1998), “The UFO Book: Encyclopedia of the
Extraterrestrial”, Visible Ink, ISBN 1-57859-029-9
- ^ Hawking Stephen, Space and Time Warps
Cont...
- ^
http://www.ufoskeptic.org/ Bernard Haisch
"ufoskeptic" website
- ^ McDonald, James E.,
(December 27, 1969), in Default: Twenty-Two Years
of Inadequate UFO Investigations
- ^ Morrison David, Senior
Scientist at the NASA Astrobiology Institute (June 2006), Ask an Astrobiologist,
(October 2006)
- ^ Morrison David, Senior
Scientist at the NASA Astrobiology Institute (July 2006), Ask an Astrobiologist,
(October 2006)
- ^
Warp Drive, When?: FAQ, NASA, (October
2006)
- ^
Good (1988), 23
- ^
Document quoted and published in Timothy Good (2007), 106–107, 115;
USAFE Item 14, TT 1524, (Top Secret), 4 November 1948, declassified
in 1997, National Archives, Washington D.C.
- ^
Schuessler, John L.,
"Statements About Flying Saucers And Extraterrestrial Life Made By
Prof. Hermann Oberth, German Rocket Scientist" 2002; Oberth's
American Weekly article appeared in a number of newspaper Sunday
supplements, e.g., Washington Post and
Times Herald, pg. AW4
- ^
Copy of FBI FOIA document;
Text quotation in essay by Dr.
Bruce Maccabee on military/CIA ETH opinions circa 1952
- ^
Dolan, 189; Good, 287, 337; Ruppelt, Chapt. 16
- ^
Ruppelt's private
notes
- ^
Good, 347
- ^
David Saunders, UFOs? Yes
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Velasco quoted in La
Dépêche du Midi, Toulouse, France, April 18, 2004
- ^
Sillard quotes
External
links