The Full Wiki

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2010: Wikis

Advertisements
  
  

Note: Many of our articles have direct quotes from sources you can cite, within the Wikipedia article! This article doesn't yet, but we're working on it! See more info or our list of citable articles.

Encyclopedia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Pennsylvania gubernatorial election of 2010 will be held on November 2, 2010. The winning candidates will serve a four-year term from 2011 to 2015.

The Lieutenant Governor will be nominated in a separate primary contest.

There will be no incumbent running. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ed Rendell will be prohibited from seeking a third term under Pennsylvania's existing state law which limits governors to two consecutive four-year terms.

According to Keystone Polls, 65% of Pennsylvania Republican voters are undecided at the end of February, 2010. The non-partisan CQ Politics and the Rothenberg Political Report rate the race as "leaning Republican".[1][2][3][4][5]

Contents

Political trends

Pennsylvania is considered a swing state in which neither political party dominates. Although the state has voted Democratic for eight of the past 12 presidential elections, its congressional delegation has been majority Republican for most of the late 20th and first years of the 21st century and Republicans have controlled the Pennsylvania General Assembly for much of that time.

The 2006 election saw Bob Casey, Jr. as the first Democrat elected to a full term in the U.S. Senate since Joseph S. Clark narrowly won re-election in 1962. In the 2008 presidential election, Democratic nominee Barack Obama easily carried the state, while in the House elections the Democratic Party won an additional seat (the 3rd), and expanded their narrow lead in the State House from 102-101 to 104-99. However, the Republican Party expanded their lead in the State Senate from 29-21 to 30-20.

In the 2000 presidential election, Vice President Al Gore won the state 51%-46% over then- Texas Governor George W. Bush. In 2004, in an even closer election, Senator John Kerry carried the state 51%-48% over George W. Bush. The state has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988, when it chose George H.W. Bush over Michael Dukakis 51%-48%.

The counties of Philadelphia and Allegheny are Democratic strongholds (Philadelphia: 75% Democrat, Allegheny: 60% Democrat), while the central and northern parts of the state, collectively referred to as the "the T," are generally conservative and vote Republican.

The populous counties of the Philadelphia suburbs; Chester, Montgomery, Delaware, and Bucks have been traditionally Republican strongholds. In the past several elections however, many of these suburban areas have been trending more Democratic.

The statewide party registration as of 2008 is:[6]

Party Count Share
Democratic 4,480,691 51.2%
Republican 3,243,391 37.0%
Other 1,033,949 11.8%

Candidates

The list of potential candidates is highly speculative at this point; however, several names have begun to surface among political pundits and writers:[7] Several individuals have already announced their intention to run.

Democratic primary

Advertisements

Candidates

Announced

Not running

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Dan Onorato Jack Wagner Joe Hoeffel Anthony Williams Chris Doherty Tom Knox Undecided
Research 2000 March 8-10, 2010 19% 10% 12% 3% - - 56%
Franklin and Marshall February 23, 2010 6% 6% 6% 1% 4% - 72%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2009 19% 14% 11% - 6% 4% 37%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 14% 7% 12% - 5% 4% 46%

Independent candidates

Announced

Potential

Republican primary

Candidates

Announced

Potential

Not running

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Jim Gerlach Tom Corbett Sam Rohrer Undecided
Franklin and Marshall February 23, 2010 - 26% 4% 65%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2009 10% 54% - 30%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 13% 42% - 43%

General election polling

Corbett vs. Onorato

Poll Source Dates Administered Tom Corbett (R) Dan Onorato (D)
Research 2000 March 8-10, 2010 40% 34%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 52% 26%
Rasmussen Reports December 10, 2009 44% 28%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 47% 28%

Corbett vs. Wagner

Poll Source Dates Administered Tom Corbett (R) Jack Wagner (D)
Research 2000 March 8-10, 2010 41% 32%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 49% 28%
Rasmussen Reports December 10, 2009 43% 30%
Quinnipiac September 30, 2009 44% 29%

Corbett vs. Hoeffel

Poll Source Dates Administered Tom Corbett (R) Joe Hoeffel (D)
Research 2000 March 8-10, 2010 41% 31%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 51% 29%
Rasmussen Reports December 10, 2009 48% 26%

References

  1. ^ http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?parm1=183
  2. ^ http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/pennsylvania/election_2010_pennsylvania_republican_primary_for_governor
  3. ^ http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1378
  4. ^ http://thebulletin.us/articles/2009/12/19/top_stories/doc4b2c731f21002709100080.txt
  5. ^ http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/
  6. ^ PA VOTER REGISTRATION SURPASSES 8.75 MILLION, SETS NEW RECORD
  7. ^ a b "Political pundits already pondering the next governor race". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. 12 November 2006. http://www.pittsburgpost-gazette.com/pg/06316/737687-178.stm. Retrieved 31 December 2008. 
  8. ^ Thomas Fitzgerald (22 Spetmeber 2009). "On Facebook, Hoeffel announces bid for governor". http://www.philly.com/inquirer/local/pa/20090922_On_Facebook__Hoeffel_announces_bid_for_governor.html. 
  9. ^ "Pennsylvania's 2010 races taking shape". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. 9 November 2008. http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/08314/926602-178.stm. Retrieved 31 December 2008. 
  10. ^ "PA Report 100" (PDF). Pennsylvania Report. Capital Growth, Inc.. January 23, 2009. Archived from the original on 2009-08-14. http://www.webcitation.org/5j0zKOG5a. 
  11. ^ "2010 gov race: Wagner in, Hoeffel tests waters". http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/harrisburg_politics/2010_gov_race_Wagner_in_Hoeffel_tests_waters.html. 
  12. ^ http://www.philly.com/philly/news/20100223_Sen__Williams_formally_enters_race_for_governor.html
  13. ^ Associated Press (January 24, 2010). "Knox Drops Out Of Pa. Governor's Race". cbs3.com. CBS Broadcasting. http://cbs3.com/local/tom.knox.pennsylvania.2.1443061.html. Retrieved January 24, 2010. 
  14. ^ "Error: no |title= specified when using {{Cite web}}". http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2010/02/chris_doherty_drops_out_of_rac.html. 
  15. ^ http://blogs.mcall.com/capitol_ideas/2009/06/breaking-lvs-cunningham-out-of-guvstakes.html
  16. ^ "Is Casey usurping Rendell as Pa's No. 1 Democrat?". PolitickerPA.com. 1 December 2008. http://www.politickerpa.com/alexroarty/2700/casey-usurping-rendell-pas-no-1-democrat. Retrieved 31 December 2008. 
  17. ^ Hirschhorn, Dan (September 23, 2009). "Truck driver making independent run for governor". pa2010.com. http://www.pa2010.com/2009/09/truck-driver-making-independent-run-for-governor-video/. Retrieved October 18, 2009. 
  18. ^ http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2008/11/candidates_for_pennsylvania_go.htm
  19. ^ http://v-newswire.com/politics/pennsylvania-national-guardsman-robert-allen-mansfield-to-run-for-pa-governor/
  20. ^ http://www.philly.com/inquirer/local/philadelphia/20091107_Sam_Rohrer_seeks_to_be_Pa__governor.html
  21. ^ "Santorum eyes gubernatorial bid". PittsburghLive.com. 30 September 2007. http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/opinion/columnists/whispers/s_530115.html. Retrieved 31 December 2008. 
  22. ^ http://www.redcounty.com/montgomery/2008/12/crowded-field-expected-for-201/
  23. ^ http://www.timesleader.com/news/ap?articleID=3584587
  24. ^ "Meehan backs Corbett in GOP governor's race". Post-gazette.com. 7 August 2009. http://post-gazette.com/pg/09219/989380-100.stm. Retrieved 7 August 2009. 

Advertisements






Got something to say? Make a comment.
Your name
Your email address
Message